Saturday, September 24, 2022

Numbers Don't Lie

 As of 12:33 PM today (Saturday September 24), the wizards at fivethirtyeight.com felt that, despite talking-head opinions to the contrary, Democrats have a small but respectable chance of keeping a majority in the House of Representatives.  Only a few days ago, Dems' chances to deny Kevin McCarthy the Speaker's gavel were rated at 27 out of 100.  Today, 538 set them at 32.

In other words, the Good Guys' chances for keeping the House have improved by about one percentage point a day.  If that pace is at all sustainable, Kevin can go pound sand - just not with the Speaker's gavel.

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