Sunday, September 25, 2022

Cry Havoc

Almost no one today thinks Donald Trump won't run for president in 2024. Republicans continue to move to that seeming inevitability.  But evidence exists that Trump as the nominee would cry havoc, and let slip the dogs of internecine feuds among the GOP.

The latest New York Times/Siena College poll of registered voters found that:

  1. 54% of that voting block believe 45's actions after the 2020 election went so far as to threaten our democracy

  2. Only 38% believed Trump was exercising his right to contest the election

  3. 51% said that Trump had committed serious federal crimes

Think about it.  A majority of the electorate believes that the former President of the United States actively threatened American democracy, and committed federal crimes. Nonetheless, the Republican base appear to be hell-bent to nominate Trump again. Also worth noting: in the Times/Siena poll, Trump wracks up 42% of the vote, whereas Joe Biden garners 45%, in a hypothetical 2024 match.

It would be extraordinarily difficult for anyone, no matter how much he or she might pander to the far-right base of the party, to defeat 45 in a primary fight. But numbers like those just cited should worry Republicans. Will voters in a general election support a candidate they believe broke federal laws?

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