A number of televised prognosticators have claimed recently that the race for the open PA Senate seat is a dead heat. Don't buy it.
Most of those speculations have been based, incorrectly, on Nate Silver's work. GOTV believes the interpretations to be incorrect because they ignore 538's stated policy of offering a range of scenarios. Adhering to that more exact method has John Fetterman winning 57 out of 100 times over Mehmet Oz.
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